Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017): Jul-Sep / 2017

Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017)

Jul-Sep / 2017
Published February 26, 2020

Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017

Dutch Disease-cum-financialization booms and external balance cycles in developing countries

Alberto Botta

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 459-477

We formally investigate the medium-to-long-run dynamics emerging out of a Dutch disease-cum-financialization phenomenon. We take inspiration from the most recent Colombian development pattern. The “pure” Dutch disease first causes deindustrialization by permanently appreciating the economy’s exchange rate in the long run. Financialization, i.e. booming capital inflows taking place in a climate of natural resource-led financial over-optimism, causes medium-run exchange rate volatility and macroeconomic instability. This jeopardizes manufacturing development even further by raising macroeconomic uncertainty. We advise the adoption of capital controls and a developmentalist monetary policy to tackle these two distinct but often intertwined phenomena.

JEL Classification: F32; O14; O24.

On the explanation for the quasi-stagnation of the capitalist economy in Brazil

Eleutério F. S. Prado

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 478-503

In this article, we examine three important lines of explanation for this historical occurrence that has lasted almost four decades. We discuss perspectives that fit into three labels: neoliberal, new developmentalism and Marxist. However, not only from the scientific focus, but also from the justification and/or the economic-political critique of the existing reality point of view. The dependency in the periphery-center relation, inside the horizon of the possible duration of capitalism, appears as a central question. The economic policy of governments figures as important, but without primacy over the structural evolution of capitalist social relations. The conclusion does not flirt with any form of optimism about progress – on the contrary, it sees the future as very difficult.

JEL Classification: N10; O11; O40.

Transforming natural resources into industrial advantage: the case of China’s rare earths industry

Carlos Aguiar de Medeiros, Nicholas M. Trebat

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 504-526

This paper analyzes the development of China’s rare earths industry, emphasizing the role of state technological initiatives in the country’s transition from rare earth exporter to large industrial consumer of these raw materials. Like other industrial powers before it, China takes advantage of low-cost domestic supplies of strategic raw materials to promote higher value-added manufacturing. We argue that, in the case of rare earths, this strategy has been largely successful, disrupting a classic international division of labor that existed prior to 2000, in which China exported most of its rare earth output to wealthy countries, and transforming Chinese firms into exporters of more sophisticated downstream products.

JEL Classification: O1; O2; O3; N5.

Marxist economic theories and the Great Recession

Alex Wilhans Antonio Palludeto, Rogerio P. de Andrade

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 527-550

This review paper examines some of the main Marxist-inspired interpretations of the Great Recession that were published in the form of books. From the broad set of publications on the subject, the following works were analyzed: The Great Financial Crisis, by John Bellamy Foster and Fred Magdoff (2009); The Enigma of Capital, by David Harvey (2011), originally published in 2010; The Crisis of Neoliberalism, by Gérard Duménil and Dominique Lévy (2011); and The Failure of Capitalist Production, by Andrew Kliman (2012). It is argued that the Marxist debate about the ultimate causes of the Great Recession can be systematized from the following cleavage: 1) on the one hand, the authors who attribute the turbulence to the specific political/economic/institutional form assumed by the capitalist system over the last decades; 2) on the other hand, those who interpret the recent crisis as a manifestation of capitalist dynamics in general - and not the particular form that it supposedly assumes. While Foster & Magdoff (2009), Harvey (2011) and Duménil & Lévy (2011) belong to the first group, Kliman (2012) is a representative of the second strand.

JEL Classification: E11; G01.

Towards an intellectual history of evolutionary economics: competition and struggle versus cooperation and mutual aid

John Hall, Svetlana Kirdina-Chandler

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 551-564

Our inquiry considers the origins of Evolutionary Economics by reintroducing a debate that took place in Russia in the 19th and early 20th century. Responses to Charles Darwin’s The Origin of Species are considered, especially critiques stressing Darwin’s emphasis upon competition and struggle in natural ion, that can be traced directly to Thomas Robert Malthus. Considering challenging contributions made by several Russian scholars, we place special emphasis upon Peter Kropotkin’s focus on cooperation and “mutual aid” in natural ion and evolution. We then speculate upon the commonality found in the evolutionary views advanced by Kropotkin and his American contemporary, Thorstein Veblen. 

JEL Classification: B1; B2; B3.

Law and Economic Institutionalism: notes on a promising research agenda

Diogo R. Coutinho

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 565-586

The article explores the legal dimension that underlies the works of different institutionalist schools. It argues that analysis centered on institutions – in particular, the so-called institutionalist political economy – unveils an opportunity for the legal field, and legal scholars to take part in the rich dialogue about economic development and its puzzles. This results from the fact that institutionalism is an eminently transversal and interdisciplinary field, in which social sciences agendas can achieve shared gains and cross-fertilization.

JEL Classification: B52; J88; K29; K40.

Understanding and overcoming the “positive profits with negative surplus-value” paradox

Gustavo Daou Lucas, Franklin Serrano

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 587-604

This paper explains the “positive profits with negative surplus-value” example of Steedman (1975) and shows that while in joint production systems individual labour values can be negative, the claim that the total labour embodied in the surplus product of the economy (surplus-value) can also be negative is based on assumptions that have no economic meaning (such as negative activity levels).The paper also provides a way to measure the surplus-value of joint production systems which overcomes the problems of the traditional concept and restates the proposition that a positive amount of surplus labour is a necessary condition for positive profits.

JEL Classification: B12.

Impact of economic growth on international reserve holdings in Brazil

Mohammad Kashif, P. Sridharan, S. Thiyagarajan

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 605-614

This study investigated the impact of economic growth on Brazilian international reserves holdings in the context of Error Correction Mechanism using data over the 1980-2014 period. The results reveal that economic growth is highly significant. From the estimation of our model, we argue that economic growth and international reserves have positive long run relationship. The estimates of error correction model are valid because error correction term is negative and statistically significant. Besides, our model suggested that economic growth has short run relationship too. The speed of adjustment is more than forty percent which indicated that error correction term corrects previous year disequilibrium at the rate of 40.4%.

JEL Classification: F41; F43; F62.

Pension reform and fully funded complimentary regime

Lena Lavinas, Eliane de Araújo

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 615-635

This article examines how pay as you go (defined benefit) public pension system relates to a fully funded complimentary regime (or defined contribution pension), in the context of a renewed attempt to reform public retirement benefits in Brazil. After featuring the main characteristics of the public pension system and how the fully funded private regime has evolved as of late, this paper questions the idea that the latter would be more beneficial to the increase of private savings and, as a result, of investment, aspects that are crucial for the development of Brazil. The findings suggest that the fully funded private regime, rather than incentivizing investment growth and the stock market, tends to reinforce income concentration, which is by all standards already alarming in Brazil.

JEL Classification: H55; H58; J11; J21; J24.

The Multi-sectoral Thirlwalls Law with capital flows: an analysis of the national export plan (2015-2018) using computational simulations

Guilherme Jonas C. da Silva, Júlio Fernando Costa Santos, Lívia Nalesso Baptista

Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 37 No. 3 (2017), Jul-Sep / 2017, Pages 636-655

This paper aims to advance the debate on Multi-sectoral Thirlwall’s Law, including sectorial capital flows and its implications for the new Brazilian economy's growth strategy, which aims to stimulate exports through diversification of products, the aggregation value and increased technology intensity of Brazilian exports. To this end, it develops a multi-sectoral model with sectorial capital flows and, as a result, are carried out some computer simulations considering the main sectors and economic partners of the country (China, United States and the Euro block). The results suggest that the best strategy is to encourage specific sectors, that is, increase the participation of the sectors that the country has comparative advantage in relation to each of its trading partners (Manufactured – US, Semi-manufatured – Europe, Primary – China). Despite the results obtained in the simulation, the model templates proposed by Hausmann et al. (2004), can generate the acceleration of economic growth. Thus, the National Plan for Exports (2015-2018) should give preference to the expansion of incentives to sectors that have high ratios of elasticity in the sense of Thirlwall.

JEL Classification: O41; C63.