Revisiting the quarterly investment dynamics in Brazil: 1996-2012
This text discusses the data on and thestylized facts of the dynamics of Brazil´s grossfixed capital formation (GFCF) since 1995. It also presents new econometrics pecifications for the quarterly dynamics of the Brazilian GFCG in the 1996-2012 years that suggest new causal interpretations to the problemath and. The data makeclear the different dynamics of the GFCF in dwellings and other buildings and structures and in machinery and equipment – and, as a consequence, the crucial role of the latter variable in the dynamics of Brazilian aggregate investment. The econometric specifications, in turn, suggest shocks in the real exchange rate international commodity prices and public investment as underlying causal mechanisms of the quarterly behavior of the Brazilian GFCF.
JEL Classification: C22; C82; E22.
Keywords: Brazilian investment, national accounts, time series models